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03/10/2010 - Oldsmar, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Schoolyard Dreams, second in the Sam F. Davis Stakes, heads a field of seven three-year-olds for Saturday's $300,000 Tampa Bay Derby at Tampa Bay Downs.
In recent years the event has become an important prep for the Triple Crown races. Three years ago Street Sense won the Tampa Bay Derby before capturing the Run for the Roses. Last year's race was won by Musket Man, who went on to win the Illinois Derby and finish third in both the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes.
Schoolyard Dreams will be joined in the field by Uptowncharlybrown, third in the Sam F. Davis. Both colts will carry 116 pounds.
Trained by Derek Ryan, who also trains Musket Man, Schoolyard Dreams will start from post five with Jeremy Rose picking up the mount. The colt was runner-up to Rule in the Davis Stakes, beaten by three-lengths.
Schoolyard Dreams is owned by Eric Fein and Anthony Mitola, and has earned $81,560 in four starts with two wins.
Uptowncharlybrown will be ridden again by Daniel Centeno from the inside post on Saturday. The chestnut colt is owned by Fantasy Lane Stable with Alan Seewald the trainer.
In January of this year, Uptowncharlybrown won the Pasco Stakes at Tampa Bay and then finished four-lengths behind Rule in the Davis. He began his career with two straight wins and has earned $60,200.
Making his first start of the year is Super Saver, who will carry 122 pounds in the race. Ramon Dominguez will ride the colt from post six.
Todd Pletcher trains the colt for WinStar Farm. Super Saver has won two of four career starts, including the $191,250 Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes last November. He has earnings of $171,232.
Here is the complete field for the Tampa Bay Derby in post position order: Uptowncharlybrown, Daniel Centeno; Tuvia's Force, Jose Lezcano; Gleam of Hope, Willie Martinez; Slammy Boy, Victor Lebron; Schoolyard Dreams, Jeremy Rose; Super Saver, Ramon Dominguez and Odysseus, Rajiv Maragh.
Post-time for the Tampa Bay Derby is scheduled for 5:30 p.m. (et).
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Teams that should be in: Michigan State, Indiana
Work left to do: Illinois, Purdue, Michigan, Iowa
Behind the big two, the pecking order might be in a bit of flux. Has Michigan State passed Indiana after handling the Hoosiers in East Lansing? Where is Illinois in that mix? What looked like a four-big league last week could be morphing into five -- and even six is not unthinkable at this point if everything breaks right.
Should be in:
Michigan State [21-8 (8-6), RPI: 20, SOS: 15] The Spartans made it four-for-four on the homestand, a gigantic accomplishment that leaves them in extremely good shape. MSU is only 1-6 on the road and is at Michigan and at Wisconsin to close things out, meaning the date with the Wolverines on Tuesday looms very, very large. Beating Texas early will hold up well, as will the rout of Bradley and the win over BYU, but will 8-8 be enough? It very well could be, as the computer numbers are good, but why chance it?
Indiana [18-9 (8-6), RPI: 24, SOS: 32] Hmm ... good thing the last two are at Northwestern and home to Penn State, because IU might want to get both to feel completely safe after dropping its third in the last four, fading after halftime at Michigan State. Who knew the best nonconference win would be over Southern Illinois, which is a gift that keeps on giving for the Hoosiers. The win over Wisconsin also looks good on the mantel.
Work left to do:
Illinois [21-9 (9-6), RPI: 31, SOS: 25] A good performance at Penn State leaves the Illini in pretty good shape. Can they go to Iowa and take care of business to really look on their way? That's a huge game, as there is a possible cluster of teams that will end at 9-7. Illinois beat Bradley, but has lost to Xavier. A 9-7 mark and a semifinals trip in Chicago could be enough with the computer profile hanging in there, but it would be better not to mess around, clinching at least a tie for third.
Purdue [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 47, SOS: 28] Couldn't get it done at Iowa, but did win at Northwestern to put 9-7 squarely in sight. Where does that leave the Boilermakers, though? Even if they beat Minnesota and Northwestern at home, that won't help the computer numbers. Nonconference wins over Virginia, DePaul and Oklahoma are solid, but not spectacular. The Boilers very well might need an upset in the B10 quarters to have a legit claim.
Michigan [19-10 (7-7), RPI: 55, SOS: 53] Well, Michigan did what it needed to do, winning at Minnesota to take control of its fate. The Wolverines have Michigan State and an already-wrapped-up-the-league Ohio State at home to close, so the chances are there. Win both and we can talk. There is no marquee win yet in the profile, and the Wolverines were splattered in several games against name opponents. A mediocre computer profile fueled by a lack of road wins isn't helping, either.
Iowa [16-12 (8-6), RPI: 80, SOS: 64] For the sake of being complete, we'll add Iowa, this season's Stanford. It's plausible that the Hawkeyes could get to 10-6 (at Penn State, vs. Illinois left), but where does that leave them after a gruesome nonconference performance where the best win was over ... Toledo? Iowa State? Cornell?? If they get to 10-6, we can start to look at what they need to do in the B10 tourney, although my gut sense is that they would need to make the final and have knocked off Ohio State or Wisconsin on the way to have any real claim.
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